Service Plays Monday 2/28/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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Thank you, wilheim




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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks:

Monday's best NHL bets

Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild (+105, 5.5)

The Blackhawks are finally getting healthy – and the team is netting the results. Literally.

With the majority of its top skaters back in uniform for the first stretch of the season, Chicago has found its scoring touch. In seven of its past eight games, the team has notched three or more goals. Not surprisingly, the team is 5-3 over that span. The team’s offensive catalysts during that streak have been forwards Patrick Kane (five goals, six assists), Jonathan Toews (10 points) and Patrick Sharp (six goals, nine points).

"I don't think there should be any complacency," Blackhawks coach Joel Quenneville said. "It's where we want to be, but I think you want to just keep pushing ahead. The rearview mirror is so tight that you want to be thinking, 'We have to win this next game' and go on and on. We still haven't had that run we need but we do have some momentum."

On the other bench, the Wild are 4-4 in their past eight games and are dealing with a slew of injuries. Forwards Kyle Brodziak and Mikko Koivu, both integeral parts of the team’s attack, are expected to miss the game and scrappy defender Cam Barker likely will be out with an upper body injury.

The Wild just won’t have enough to keep up with the Blackhawks.

Pick: Chicago

Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings (-125, 5.5)

If there is one team the Kings aren’t intimidated by, it’s the Detroit Red Wings.

The Red Wings have been among the rulers of the Western Conference for more than a decade, but Los Angeles has won four straight against Detroit, including a 3-2 overtime win in California in early December followed by a 5-0 victory in Hockey Town about a week later.

And the team is playing just as well entering Monday night. Los Angeles has gone through dry spells this year, but is averaging just under three goals per game over its past eight. During that span, the team is 6-2 and has scored three or more goals six times. But the way starting goalie Jonathan Quick is playing, he doesn’t need that much help.

Quick has a 2.13 goals-against average and a .920 save percentage to go along with six shutouts – including the one against Detroit earlier this year. In that victory in the Motor City, he made a stunning 51 saves that even had the Red Wings shaking their heads.

"Hats off to Quickie. He played a hell of a game. He stole that one," Detroit goalie Jimmy Howard said. "He was in a zone. There's nothing you can do about it. He was stopping everything. I think we could have went all night and he probably still would have gave up zero. He was just in one of those zones."

Don’t expect him to give up must this time, either.

Pick: Los Angeles

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' roll:

Monday's best basketball bets

Atlanta Hawks at Denver Nuggets (-6, 201.5)

Call it the Hinrich Effect.

With defensive minded point guard Kirk Hinrich on the team, the Hawks look like a totally different squad. The three previous games before he arrived the club was falling apart and had coughed up more than 100 points in each contest – all loses.

But when the former Jayhawks star suited up late last week in Golden State, he brought a whole new approach for the team. Playing nearly 17 minutes off the bench in his debut, he scored eight points with three rebounds, three steals and added a three-pointer, a free throw and a steal. Oh, and Atlanta won 95-79 over one of the top offensive teams in the league.

“It’s important that I understand what we are trying to do at both ends,” Hinrich said. “But a lot of times our lineups and our athleticism, I think the best way for us to play is to just play. Work hard on the defensive end and try to run.”

On the other bench, the Nuggets look good since trading Carmelo Anthony. In three games since shipping him to New York, the team is 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS, with wins over Memphis and Boston. But Atlanta can match their depth and their athleticism and can counter with a renewed emphasis on defense and transition baskets.

Pick: Atlanta

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

College Funds

Villanova Wildcats at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-4, 139)

To say that Villanova is in a tailspin would be an understatement.

The team know for its three-point shooting, trapping defense and wide-open attack have failed to crack the 68-point barrier in four of the past six games. Not surprisingly, the Wildcats are 2-4 SU and 0-6 ATS over that span. And did we mention the victories are a two-point overtime win against an awful DePaul team and a three-point defeat of a terrible Seton Hall side?

"Honestly, I feel like we're getting - believe it or not - a little bit better, but not good enough for this league," Villanova coach Jay Wright said. "I don't think we're getting worse. If we didn't play a Syracuse, a St. John's, a Pitt, maybe it might show. But it's not good enough right now for this league."

And it’s not helping Villanova that star guard Corey Fisher picked a fine week to take off. In losses to Syracuse and St. John’s – both at home – the senior stud was 4-for-26 from the field and 0-of-16 from beyond-the-arc.

"He got good looks," Wright said. "I don't know. I really don't. The best thing that we can tell him is to keep shooting it. We have confidence in him. We're going to ride him."

The Irish will have no problem with that approach.

At home this season, Notre Dame is 16-0 SU and 7-4 ATS in lined games. Over the past six weeks the team has been especially good in South Bend, posting a 4-1 ATS mark that includes a win over Louisville and Cincinnati.

Pick: Notre Dame

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' best friend (BBF): Monday's wagering tips

Injury of interest

Andray Blatche, Washington Wizards: Blatche has missed the last two games with a hip injury and is considered questionable for Monday’s contest against the Bulls. Blatche is putting up almost 16 points and eight rebounds per game, but is also in hot water with the club’s brass after allegedly posting a couple of nasty tweets, challenging a follower to a fight last week. Blatche says he wasn’t responsible for the tweets and that his account was hacked.

Key trends

NBA: The Chicago Bulls have won and covered six of their last seven games heading into Monday’s contest against the Washington Wizards.

NBA: New Jersey has lost five straight games, covering in only one of those defeats.

NBA: Atlanta has covered in 14 of its last 19 matchups with the Denver Nuggets.

NBA: Utah has covered just eight of its last 28 games overall.

NCAAB: Notre Dame is riding an 7-3 run against the spread, while Villanova has dropped six straight games against the number.

NCAAB: Kansas State is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 meetings with Texas.

NHL: Chicago has won just four times over its last 15 games in Minnesota, while the under has cashed in on nine of the Wild’s last 10 home games.

NHL: Detroit has won six of its last eight games overall and has taken 22 of its last 26 meetings with Los Angeles.

Number of note

10 – number of consecutive games the Villanova Wildcats have been favored in. The Wildcats have managed to cover just once over that span heading into Monday's game against Notre Dame. Villanova is set as a 4.5-point underdog.

Notes and tips

Mo Williams and Jamario Moon have joined the Los Angeles Clippers following the trade that sent Baron Davis to Cleveland, and it looks as though they will debut for their new team in Monday’s game in Sacramento. The pair was held out of the team’s games over the weekend because Baron Davis didn’t pass his physical until Sunday afternoon. All players involved in a trade must pass their physicals before any of them can play for their new teams.

Notre Dame can secure a double-bye in the Big East conference tournament with a victory over Villanova on Monday. The Irish have been hot lately, reeling off wins in nine of its last 10 games while Villanova is coming off a blowout loss to St. John’s over the weekend. "That double-bye is big for us," Irish coach Mike Brey said. "It keeps us looking forward and not behind us. There is a lot going on back there and I've tried to talk to the team about chasing (first-place) Pittsburgh rather than looking back."

The Texas Longhorns will be happy to get back home after suffering a pair of tough road losses which dropped the club into a first-place tie in the Big 12. Texas has won each of its last seven home games heading into Monday’s contest with Kansas State. During those wins, Texas has won by an average margin of 17 points and the club is pegged as a 9.5-point favorite against Kansas State.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pucking the trends: This week's hot and cold NHL bets

HOT TEAM: Columbus Blue Jackets

Columbus enters Sunday’s tilt vs. Nashville riding a three-game winning streak. The Blue Jackets have won five of six, they have points in all six on that stretch, and are guaranteed at least eight victories this month.

Three of their five wins came at home and as favorites but the club still pulled out a surprising 4-3 win at Chicago against the defending champs.

As play began on Sunday, they were still on the outside looking in, with regards to the playoffs, but they were only three points out of the eighth spot and they had at least one game in hand on the whole conference.

At the forefront of the surge, is All-Star Rick Nash, who’s played like the star the Blue Jackets need on the ice and at the box office. He has five goals in his last six games, helping Columbus score four or more goals in each of its last three contests.

COLD TEAM: Anaheim Ducks

If there’s a hot team in the bottom of the West playoff race, it probably means there’s a cold one, too, and that is true for Anaheim these days.

The Ducks entered Sunday’s game vs. Colorado on a five-game losing streak, and it’s been uglier than it even sounds. Anaheim has allowed 27 goals during that stretch including seven to Washington on Feb. 16, and nine to St. Louis on Feb. 19.

It’s safe to say this team is missing its starting goalie. Jonas Hiller is still out because of vertigo symptoms but Anaheim just recently acquired Dan Ellis from Tampa Bay. Bettors might have to take a wait-and-see approach with Anaheim once Ellis gets between the pipes.

OVER PLAY: Ottawa Senators

OK, so this might be a tough sell after the Senators handcuffed the Flyers, 4-1, on Saturday night, but don’t be fooled by 2.5 hours of hockey. We all know strange things happen on Hockey Night in Canada anyway.

What can’t be undersold is that new-look Ottawa -- with youngsters up from the AHL and a new goalie still finding his way -- seems bound to be an over play for the rest of the season.

Saturday’s win went under by a half but let’s take a look at the numbers. The under snapped a two-game over streak, yes, but Ottawa has still pushed past the total in nine of its last 11 games.

Craig Anderson has been good in net since the trade from Colorado, but remember his defense will be young and shaky the rest of the way.

And let’s see how that defense responds to a tough trifecta this week, to open the month of March: Boston, Atlanta and the Rangers. Think over, folks.

UNDER PLAY: New Jersey Devils

Well, their winning ways finally came to an end, with a 2-1 loss to Tampa Bay on Friday, but the unders just keep on coming for New Jersey.

Johan Hedberg has been tremendous in net and the offense is still slow enough for the Devils to be a consistent under buy the rest of the way. They entered Sunday’s game vs. Florida having gone under in four straight, and were in the midst of a 7-0-2 under run. That’s a quality, consistent stretch for any under player.

In fact, prior to the game vs. the Panthers, the Devils had gone over in a game just once all month.

SURVEYING THE SCHEDULE

** Just what the East-leading Flyers needed, right? Rest. Philadelphia, fresh off four games last week, won’t return to the ice until Thursday night. So, expect some rejuvenated legs, when they play host to the Maple Leafs at the Wells Fargo Center on four days’ rest.

** The Canucks won’t be so lucky. On Tuesday, Vancouver plays host to the Blue Jackets in a game which will start a run of four contests in six days. For a team that is just 4-5 in its last nine, Vancouver might want to get it together in this stretch, in which it’ll also play the Predators, Kings and Ducks.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GAME OF THE DAY: KANSAS STATE AT TEXAS

Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Longhorns (-9.5, 135)

A suddenly reeling Texas Longhorns squad returns home to host resurgent Kansas State in a key Big 12 clash at the Frank Erwin Center Monday night.

HOUSE OF CARDS

Texas blew a big first-half lead and folded in a Big 12 road game for the second time in three games. The Longhorns fell 91-89 at Colorado on Saturday and the 91 points were the most surrendered by Texas this season.

As a result, the Longhorns (24-5, 12-2) fall into a first-pace tie with Kansas (27-2, 12-2) and it appears they are not likely to win their first outright league title since 1998.

The Buffaloes stormed back from a 22-point, first-half deficit and overcame a 48-33 halftime deficit behind Alec Burks' 33 points and Levi Knutson's 21. Texas shot just 29.4 percent in the second half.

A seven-point halftime lead at Nebraska vanished a week earlier in a 70-67 defeat. Despite the second-half meltdowns, Texas forward Jordan Hamilton is not concerned.

"It's not like we lost a ton-load of games. We've only lost two (conference) games," Hamilton said. "But I think it's good for us. We've just got to get back to the drawing board. We're not as good as we thought. Let me rephrase that: We didn't execute. That's what I meant to say.""

Longhorns coach Rick Barnes agreed.

"I really think it's very simple: the team that played for 40 minutes won the game," Barnes said. "I didn't feel like we had a real sense of urgency from the get-go.

“We didn't play with purpose, that was the problem. We got a lead early in the game and I've seen them evaporate quickly, but you can certainly help the cause by not making them defend and simply not executing. We didn't. We simply didn't execute."

Colorado outrebounded Texas 43-39 and outshot the 'Horns 53 percent to 42 percent.

The only other time this year the Longhorns have been outrebounded in conference play was their aforementioned loss at Nebraska last weekend.

BRACKETOLOGY

The loss doesn't kill Texas.

As the bracketology stands right now, if the Longhorns get a No. 1 seed they would be in Anaheim. A No. 2 seed could put them in San Antonio, which would be better for the team, fans and media alike.

ON THE PROWL

What a difference a month makes.

The Wildcats beat Missouri 80-70 in Manhattan on Saturday, their fourth win in a row and sixth in seven games since Wally Judge walked away four weeks ago.

KSU has taken on a totally new look and is playing like it, too. All the issues from before, from the suspensions and drama and quitting players, none of it matters now.

That’s because the Wildcats are approaching each game with a new attitude. And head coach Frank Martin is relishing the new work ethic of his young, re-molded squad.

“That’s what it’s about,” Martin says. “When you have a team, not (just) players.”

PULLEN IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION

KSU leading scorer and star guard Jacob Pullen scored 24 points in Saturday’s win over Missouri, reaching a rare career milestone in the process. In addition, Curtis Kelly added 15 points and six rebounds for the born-again Wildcats (20-9, 8-6), who are battling Missouri (22-7, 8-6) for the fourth and final bye in the Big 12 tournament.

After being suspended midseason for the “crime” of accepting an offered discount on clothes, Pullen has come back with a vengeance. He joined Mike Evans to become one of two Kansas State players to go over the 2,000-point mark with Saturday’s performance.

What once looked like the face of one of the country’s most disappointing seasons, Pullen has become a poster boy for comeback-kids.

FROM THE DATABASE

Kansas State
•13-6 SU and 11-6-1 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS wins under Martin
• 1-5 ATS versus Big 12 foe off SU favorite loss under Martin
• The visiting team in Wildcats’ conference games is 2-12 ATS this season

Texas
• 4-0 SU and ATS versus an opponent off a SU and ATS win this season
• 10-2 SU and ATS versus greater than .680 opponent this season
• 5-5 SU and 1-8-1 ATS last 10 games in this series

TALE OF THE TAPE

According to Covers.com College Basketball Statistics, here is a breakdown of how each team ranks among 345 others in three pivotal stat categories, namely Offensive Field Goal Percentage, Defensive Field Goal Percentage and Rebound Margin this season:

Offensive FG Percentage –
Kansas State 43.2 – No. 184
Texas 46.1 - No. 54

Defensive FG Percentage –
Kansas State 42.3 – No. 112
Texas 37.3 – No. 2

Rebound Margin –
Kansas State +7.5 - No. 10
Texas +6.1 - No. 16

DID YOU KNOW?

Texas has won 10 straight home games after surrendering 90 or more points in its last game.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 278-221 (.557)

Chicago vs. MINNESOTA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Detroit vs. LOS ANGELES: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 578-257 (.692)
ATS: 425-438 (.492)
ATS Vary Units: 1042-1076 (.492)
Over/Under: 448-431 (.510)
Over/Under Vary Units: 539-547 (.496)

Phoenix 103, NEW JERSEY 99
Chicago 100, WASHINGTON 91
DENVER 104, Atlanta 98
Boston 96, UTAH 93
SACRAMENTO 103, L.A. Clippers 100

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NCAA CBB

Season
Straight Up: 3455-1171 (.747)
ATS: 1542-1570 (.496)
ATS Vary Units: 4384-4483 (.494)
Over/Under: 1519-1546 (.496)
Over/Under Vary Units: 2009-2144 (.484)

Atlantic Sun Conference
Florida Gulf Coast vs. USC UPSTATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Big 12 Conference
TEXAS 74, Kansas State 67
Big East Conference
NOTRE DAME 76, Villanova 66
Big Sky Conference
Northern Colorado 73, IDAHO STATE 66
Great West Conference
NORTH DAKOTA 86, Chicago State 71
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
FLORIDA A&M 67, South Carolina State 63
NORFOLK STATE 79, Coppin State 78
NORTH CAROLINA A&T 72, Morgan State 68
Southwestern Athletic Conference
ALABAMA A&M 64, Prairie View A&M 57
Jackson State 65, ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF 58
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE 68, Grambling State 62
Texas Southern 60, ALABAMA STATE 59
Sun Belt Conference
UALR 74, North Texas 71
Non-Conference
BETHUNE-COOKMAN 71, North Carolina Central 63
GONZAGA 89, Cal State Bakersfield 55

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

605- 448 57 % Run On Bonus Plays over 2 1/2 YEARS !

Free winner Mon Texas -9

 

[superbeets]

NCAA Basketball Picks



Villanova at Notre Dame



The Wildcats look to build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games as an underdog from 1 to 6 1/2 points. Villanova is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Irish favored by just 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+5). Here are all of today's games.


MONDAY, FEBRUARY 28
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 711-712: Villanova at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 70.281; Notre Dame 72.774
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 5
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+5)

Game 713-714: Kansas State at Texas (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 70.537; Texas 80.803
Dunkel Line: Texas by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-9)

Game 715-716: Northern Colorado at Idaho State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 55.841; Idaho State 52.070
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 4
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 7
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+7)

Game 721-722: Morgan State at North Carolina A&T (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morgan State 44.209; North Carolina A&T 47.416
Dunkel Line: North Carolina A&T by 3
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 723-724: Jackson State at AR-Pine Bluff (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jackson State 44.036; AR-Pine Bluff 36.790
Dunkel Line: Jackson State by 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 725-726: North Texas at AR-Little Rock (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 49.182; AR-Little Rock 52.227
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 3
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Louisville (-1) Sunday.

Monday it's Texas. The deficit is 455 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Monday

Suns -1.5

 

[skyjake]

kine professor

pass monday

17-15 overall but...

6-13 on saturdays

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

OUTLAW SPORTS ADVISORS

$500* Boston Celtics @ Utah Jazz - OVER 191

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WEEKLY WINNING SPORTS PICKS

NHL
5* CHICAGO @ MINNESOTA UNDER 5.5 (8pm)

 

[superbeets]

Today's NHL Picks



Chicago at Minnesota



The Wild look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 2-6 in its last 8 games as a favorite from -110 to -150. Minnesota is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Wild favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+105). Here are all of today's picks.



MONDAY, FEBRUARY 28
Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Chicago at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.490; Minnesota 12.611
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+105); Under

Game 3-4: Detroit at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.147; Los Angeles 11.816
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-125); Over

 

[superbeets]

Today's NBA Picks



LA Clippers at Sacramento



The Clippers look to take advantage of a Sacramento team that is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a home favorite. LA is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+2). Here are all of today's picks.


MONDAY, FEBRUARY 28
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Chicago at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 123.746; Washington 112.467
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 11 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: Phoenix at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 116.915; New Jersey 117.089
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+2); Under

Game 705-706: Atlanta at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.261; Denver 117.811
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 1; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 6; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+6); Over

Game 707-708: Boston at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 123.562; Utah 117.524
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 6; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 4; 191
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-4); Under

Game 709-710: LA Clippers at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 111.419; Sacramento 111.521
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 2; 207
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+2); Over

 

[jdsabre]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Notre Dame
Celtics